🏆 Title race — CL
Title, Top-4 & Relegation chances (36 teams simulated)
1. Arsenal FC
26.8%
T4 69.3% · REL 0.0%
2. Como 1907
19.7%
T4 59.3% · REL 0.0%
3. PAE AEK
14.5%
T4 50.9% · REL 0.0%
4. Liverpool FC
11.6%
T4 46.0% · REL 0.0%
5. FC Bayern München
8.8%
T4 36.1% · REL 0.0%
6. FC Barcelona
5.5%
T4 23.4% · REL 0.0%
7. Real Madrid CF
2.5%
T4 20.3% · REL 0.0%
8. Paris Saint-Germain FC
2.5%
T4 18.1% · REL 0.0%
9. Manchester City FC
1.9%
T4 17.2% · REL 0.0%
10. Aston Villa FC
1.9%
T4 13.8% · REL 0.0%
11. FC Internazionale Milano
0.9%
T4 9.2% · REL 0.1%
12. Club Atlético de Madrid
0.9%
T4 5.6% · REL 0.1%
13. VfB Stuttgart
0.6%
T4 6.1% · REL 0.1%
14. Villarreal CF
0.5%
T4 3.7% · REL 0.0%
15. Real Betis Balompié
0.4%
T4 4.2% · REL 0.1%
16. FC Porto
0.4%
T4 3.1% · REL 0.1%
17. PSV
0.2%
T4 1.7% · REL 0.4%
18. Borussia Dortmund
0.1%
T4 2.1% · REL 0.0%
19. Sporting Clube de Portugal
0.1%
T4 4.2% · REL 0.1%
20. Racing Club de Lens
0.1%
T4 1.2% · REL 0.1%
21. Fenerbahçe SK
0.1%
T4 1.2% · REL 0.2%
22. Manchester United FC
0.1%
T4 1.1% · REL 0.4%
23. Lille OSC
0.0%
T4 0.8% · REL 0.3%
24. AS Roma
0.0%
T4 0.7% · REL 0.7%
25. FK Bodø/Glimt
0.0%
T4 0.1% · REL 0.9%
26. FK Shakhtar Donetsk
0.0%
T4 0.1% · REL 3.9%
27. Feyenoord Rotterdam
0.0%
T4 0.1% · REL 7.5%
28. Galatasaray SK
0.0%
T4 0.1% · REL 2.0%
29. RB Leipzig
0.0%
T4 0.1% · REL 3.5%
30. SSC Napoli
0.0%
T4 0.1% · REL 0.1%
31. Club Brugge KV
0.0%
T4 0.0% · REL 3.6%
32. LASK Linz
0.0%
T4 0.0% · REL 73.9%
33. SK Slavia Praha
0.0%
T4 0.0% · REL 32.6%
34. Sabah FK
0.0%
T4 0.0% · REL 99.7%
35. Viking FK
0.0%
T4 0.0% · REL 21.7%
36. ŠK Slovan Bratislava
0.0%
T4 0.0% · REL 48.1%
Projected final table (144/144 fixtures simulated)
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
🏆 Como 1907
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 22 | W D W W W |
| 2 |
Arsenal FC
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 20 | W W W D W |
| 3 |
Real Madrid CF
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 17 | D W L W W |
| 4 |
FC Internazionale Milano
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 | D W L W W |
| 5 |
Manchester City FC
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | D W L D W |
| 6 |
Club Atlético de Madrid
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 15 | W W D D W |
| 7 |
Liverpool FC
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | D D W L W |
| 8 |
FC Bayern München
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 14 | L L W D W |
| 9 |
Paris Saint-Germain FC
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 14 | D W D L W |
| 10 |
Aston Villa FC
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | L L D W D |
| 11 |
FC Barcelona
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 | W W W L L |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 | W L W L D |
| 13 |
Real Betis Balompié
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 | L W L D L |
| 14 |
Sporting Clube de Portugal
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 | L W D W L |
| 15 |
FC Porto
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | W D L W W |
| 16 |
PAE AEK
|
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | D D W D D |
| 17 |
SSC Napoli
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | L L W W W |
| 18 |
Villarreal CF
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 11 | D D W L W |
| 19 |
Lille OSC
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 | L W D W D |
| 20 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | L L D W L |
| 21 |
PSV
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | W L D D W |
| 22 |
Fenerbahçe SK
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | D D D W L |
| 23 |
Manchester United FC
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | W L W D L |
| 24 |
Racing Club de Lens
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | L L W D L |
| 25 |
Galatasaray SK
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 10 | W W L W L |
| 26 |
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 | W W L D L |
| 27 |
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 | W D W L L |
| 28 |
AS Roma
|
8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 8 | L L D D D |
| 29 |
RB Leipzig
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 | D W L W L |
| 30 |
Feyenoord Rotterdam
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 | D D W L W |
| 31 |
Club Brugge KV
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 | L D L L W |
| 32 |
Viking FK
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 4 | W L L D L |
| 33 |
LASK Linz
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 3 | D L D L L |
| 34 |
SK Slavia Praha
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 | L D L L D |
| 35 |
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 21 | -18 | 1 | D L L L L |
| 36 |
Sabah FK
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 26 | -26 | 1 | L L L L L |
How this works: finished matches use real results; every scheduled match uses the most likely scoreline from the Poisson model (same as the dashboard predictions). Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored. Title chances sample each match 1,000× from its predicted scoreline distribution.