🏆 Title race — La Liga

🏆

FCB

FC Barcelona

Projected La Liga champion · 2026 season

106 pts · 34W 4D 0L · GD 91

Title, Top-4 & Relegation chances (20 teams simulated)

FCB 1. FC Barcelona

93.2% T4 100.0% · REL 0.0%

REM 2. Real Madrid CF

6.3% T4 99.9% · REL 0.0%

CLA 3. Club Atlético de Madrid

0.4% T4 90.1% · REL 0.0%

REB 4. Real Betis Balompié

0.0% T4 53.0% · REL 0.0%

RCD 5. RC Deportivo La Coruña

0.0% T4 18.4% · REL 0.4%

ATC 6. Athletic Club

0.0% T4 10.7% · REL 0.8%

VIL 7. Villarreal CF

0.0% T4 10.6% · REL 0.4%

SEV 8. Sevilla FC

0.0% T4 4.9% · REL 2.1%

RES 9. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

0.0% T4 4.2% · REL 2.3%

DEA 10. Deportivo Alavés

0.0% T4 2.8% · REL 3.5%

RCC 11. RC Celta de Vigo

0.0% T4 2.6% · REL 6.5%

RAV 12. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

0.0% T4 1.4% · REL 8.5%

RCE 13. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

0.0% T4 0.7% · REL 15.0%

ELC 14. Elche CF

0.0% T4 0.2% · REL 17.4%

CAO 15. CA Osasuna

0.0% T4 0.1% · REL 21.1%

LEU 16. Levante UD

0.0% T4 0.1% · REL 28.1%

RER 17. Real Racing Club de Santander

0.0% T4 0.1% · REL 22.6%

VAL 18. Valencia CF

0.0% T4 0.1% · REL 31.1%

GET 19. Getafe CF

0.0% T4 0.0% · REL 40.6%

MÁL 20. Málaga CF

0.0% T4 0.0% · REL 99.7%

Projected final table (380/380 fixtures simulated)

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FCB 🏆 FC Barcelona	38	34	4	0	116	25	91	106	W D W W W
2	REM Real Madrid CF	38	28	7	3	84	31	53	91	W D W W W
3	CLA Club Atlético de Madrid	38	20	11	7	60	26	34	71	W W W D D
4	RCD RC Deportivo La Coruña	38	15	18	5	45	31	14	63	W D W W L
5	REB Real Betis Balompié	38	18	9	11	47	37	10	63	W W D L D
6	VIL Villarreal CF	38	17	9	12	59	47	12	60	W W D W D
7	ATC Athletic Club	38	13	15	10	40	32	8	54	D W L D W
8	SEV Sevilla FC	38	12	16	10	37	41	-4	52	L L D W W
9	RER Real Racing Club de Santander	38	16	3	19	48	95	-47	51	L W L W L
10	RCC RC Celta de Vigo	38	11	16	11	42	39	3	49	W L W D D
11	DEA Deportivo Alavés	38	10	16	12	32	31	1	46	L W L L D
12	RES Real Sociedad de Fútbol	38	11	13	14	43	47	-4	46	D D L D D
13	RCE RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	38	10	15	13	35	40	-5	45	D L D L D
14	VAL Valencia CF	38	12	6	20	27	49	-22	42	L L D W L
15	RAV Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	38	8	16	14	28	40	-12	40	L D L W L
16	ELC Elche CF	38	10	10	18	35	55	-20	40	D L W L W
17	CAO CA Osasuna	38	6	15	17	30	49	-19	33	L D D L W
18	GET Getafe CF	38	7	10	21	10	30	-20	31	D W L L L
19	LEU Levante UD	38	6	11	21	31	57	-26	29	L L W L D
20	MÁL Málaga CF	38	1	10	27	4	51	-47	13	D L L L L

How this works: finished matches use real results; every scheduled match uses the most likely scoreline from the Poisson model (same as the dashboard predictions). Tiebreakers: points → goal difference → goals scored. Title chances sample each match 1,000× from its predicted scoreline distribution.